SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. St. Louis Cardinals: Will Adam Wainwright get a retirement tour? Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. Even 250 wins is a rare accomplishment at this point. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. Hes 28th in R-JAWS, 1.2 points behind the lowest-ranked enshrined reliever (Bruce Sutter), and at age 33, needs to rebound if hes to have a shot at election that is, if voters will overlook his 2016 suspension under MLBs domestic violence policy, which is uncharted territory for Hall candidates. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. The best pitcher in MLB? ago. Theyll defer. Cardinals' Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 strikeouts But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you can make the case for the veteran pitcher although hes not a sure-fire candidate yet. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . Your existing password has not been changed. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Dont hold your breath. But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? This doesnt mean that Wainwright definitely deserves to make itTim Hudson, who barely qualified for a second turn on the BBWAA ballot and didnt receive the 5% of votes needed to qualify for a third, ranks ahead of him, for instance. Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . Godspeed, Waino. At least not for starting pitchers. I found However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? Hall of Very Good. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. However, not all stories have happy endings. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Adam Wainwright on Jason Isringhausen entering Cardinals Hall of Fame 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. NL Wild Card Game: Is Adam Wainwright Going To Join Max - Forbes Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. Enter your email address to get a new one. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. . This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. {* backButton *} The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. And right now, he simply isnt there. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Please logout and login again. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Astros @ Cardinals. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. 5th stage: 60-day IL. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. Your login session has expired. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Cardinals Milestones for Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina in 2022 Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Sorry we could not verify that email address. 34. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. Watch: Cardinals honor Albert Pujols, Adam Wainwright and - FanSided Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. Decade-plus Eagles writer. 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Opinion | Is Wainright a hall of famer? | ksdk.com Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Required fields are marked *. Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. None. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. But theres no alarm. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in That's an average of 174 innings per year. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. Wainwright was a three time All Star and two time Gold Glove winner, finishing in the top three of the NL Cy Young vote four times. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Arizona Diamondbacks. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Adam Wainwright Deserves Serious Hall of Fame Consideration Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. Homecoming Kings: After raucous red-coated pomp, Wainwright and O'Neill Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Velocity? Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . Look at that. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. It happens a lot. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. Adam Wainwright Congratulates Former Teammate On HOF Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Please contact us. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick | 03/02/2023 | MLB.com After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option.